The non-Hispanic white population has grown too, but not as quickly. Racial and ethnic minorities have accounted for most of the nation’s growth in recent decades. population, non-Hispanic whites will cease to be the majority group by 2044, according to Census Bureau projections, or by 2055, according to Pew Research Center projections. In fact, the bureau estimates indicate that 50.3% of children younger than 5 were racial or ethnic minorities in 2015. ![]() The Census Bureau statistics indicate that demographic change is percolating upward through the nation’s age groups, starting with the youngest ones. Birth rates declined most steeply for Hispanic and immigrant women. One reason that the bureau had to delay its claim of a majority-minority newborn population may have been a sharp falloff in births and birth rates after the onset of the Great Recession in 2007. Birth data is a special problem: In estimating the number and characteristics of newborns, the agency relies in part on birth certificate information from the National Center for Health Statistics that is two years out of date. The Census Bureau frequently revises its past population estimates to account for newly available data. In 2014, minority babies outnumbered white babies by about 16,000, and in 2015 the difference was about 12,000, according to the agency’s estimates. The estimates released this year included revised 2013 estimates that now say there were about a thousand more minority babies than non-Hispanic white babies that year, a tiny difference given that each group numbered more than 1.9 million. But when the bureau released its 2013 estimates, it revised those earlier estimates to indicate that, in all three years, newborn non-Hispanic whites still outnumbered minorities, by a small margin. The bureau’s population estimates also indicated minorities were the majority among babies in 2012. In 2012, the Census Bureau declared that in 2011 most children younger than age 1 were minorities. But changes in short-term immigration flows and in fertility patterns can delay those long-term shifts. demographic shift from a majority-white nation to one with no racial or ethnic majority group that is based on long-running immigration and birth trends. The change among newborns is part of a projected U.S. ![]() Pinpointing the exact year when minorities outnumbered non-Hispanic whites among newborns has been difficult. ![]() The new estimates also indicate that this crossover occurred in 2013, so the pattern seems well established. In sheer numbers, there were 1,995,102 minority babies compared with 1,982,936 non-Hispanic white infants, according to the census estimates. babies younger than 1 year old were racial or ethnic minorities. The bureau’s estimates for July 1, 2015, released today, say that just over half – 50.2% – of U.S. is projected to have no racial or ethnic group as its majority within the next several decades, but that day apparently is already here for the nation’s youngest children, according to new Census Bureau population estimates.
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